An advanced stats preview of Rangers at Morton

Peter MacDonald

written by – Rangers Report

Rangers Morton
Expected Goals per game 2.29 1.74
Expected Goals against per game 0.56 1.69
Total Shots Ratio 0.77 0.51
Shots on Target Ratio 0.81 0.45
Shots per game 16.71 13.71
Shots against per game 5.00 13.14
Shooting Percentage 0.44 0.23
Shooting Accuracy 0.46 0.37
Save Percentage 0.69 0.86
Expected Points 19.03 8.20
Actual Points 21 10

So far this season, Morton has produced some of the funnest football played in the Scottish Championship.  In seven matches they have taken 96 shots & have allowed 92.  Only Rangers have taken more shots & only Alloa have allowed more.  Clearly, though, Morton can not take their usual approach against Rangers or they might give up 25-30 shots.  Morton will look to defend & they may look awkward doing so because clearly it’s not their thing.  

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Morton Players to Watch

Denny Johnstone – the 20-year old striker, on loan from Birmingham City,  has been thriving so far for Morton.  He has 15 shots, six shots on target & two goals this season.  Three of those shots have been headers & 60% of his shots come from High Danger or Very High Danger areas.

Stefan McCluskey – the journeyman winger has gotten off to a very productive start to the season with a goal & two assists.  Of Morton’s eight goals, McCluskey has played a direct role in 38% of them.  He also averages 2.31 shots per 90 minutes.

courtesy of Getty Images

Romario Sabajo – the 26 year old Dutch winger is finally beginning to see some minutes for Morton & has produced when given the chance.  He has appeared in four matches & has played 118 minutes.  In those limited minutes he has five shots & an assist.

courtesy of James Stewart

Derek Gaston – statistically the best goalkeeper in the Championship has been Morton’s Derek Gaston.  Of the 30 shots on target that he has faced, only three have beaten him for a goal.  His Expected Goals Against is 4.11 which translates to a league best -1.11 Goals Minus Expected Goals statistic.  Of the shots on target that he has faced, 47% have come from High/Very High Danger zones.  Wes Foderingham has faced eleven shots on target & three have gotten by him.  Of the shots on target that he has faced, only 36% have come form High/Very High Danger zones.  Note:  penalties & own goals are not factored into these stats.

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