written by – Rangers Report
This aim of this Analytical Match Report is to enhance the analysis of Rangers performance by providing a variety of advanced stats from the game. Explanations of these stats can be found in our tutorial for these reports.
Expected Goals: Rangers 3.0 St. Mirren 0.7
While there may have been some grumblings in the crowd & online at times on Saturday – Rangers put in a dominant performance in the Petrofac Training Cup semi-final. Their style of play was immune to the conditions & Rangers were able to generate their most Expected Goals in a match since the first few weeks of the season.
Shot Quality Breakdown:
Rangers mixed patient build-up into the final third with some opportunistic shots from outside the box. Of their shots, 50% came from within the penalty area & 40% came from within High/Very High Danger areas. This was Rangers doing “Plan A better,” as Mark Warburton likes to assert.
When Rangers are at their best you see the above numbers building off each other. Sustaining possession leading to having a majority of the shots in the match has been the norm, but when Rangers are really playing well the Shots on Target Ratio builds upon the TSR & ultimately this translate to having the vast majority of Expected Goals in a game.
|Shots||Shots on Target||Sh Acc||Sh%|
Rangers Report Shot Chart:
That sea of blue really highlights the gap in the two teams on Saturday. However, it should be noted that Rangers shot totals really tailed off in the second half. Of Rangers’ shots, 70% came in the first half & 65% came in the opening half hour. Once Rangers scored the opener, St. Mirren changed their tactics & began to pressure the ball more & in turn Rangers only managed six shots after Jason Holt’s opening tally.
Goalkeeper Distribution Rating
Wes Foderingham went short with 74% of his distribution & that led to Rangers’ possession in the attacking half 96% of the time. Once St. Mirren began pressuring up the pitch more, Foderigham did try to relieve that pressure by going up the pitch with long balls – but that only led to possession in the offensive half 25% of the time. Jamie Langfield went long 90% of the time & it resulted in the Saints establishing possession in Rangers half 32% of the time. When he did go short, St. Mirren gained possession in Rangers half 67% of the time.
It was interesting to see Martyn Waghorn take so many shots from outside the box, with five of his six shots coming from Low Danger areas. However, St. Mirren gave him the space & he took it. Once again, Waghorn’s all around play was on display as he got the helper on Kenny Miller’s goal.
I’ve been stressing on this site for weeks that if Kenny Miller keeps getting the chances that he has been getting, that the goals will ultimately follow. Well, his 0.88 Expected Goals is almost as telling as the goal that broke the Saints’ backs on Saturday. The veteran continues to get quality scoring opportunities & the finish was finally there again. Of course it helped that Waghorn’s pass really sent the defence into a whirlwind & Miller had an open goal to shoot at.
After only having one controlled entry into the final third last week, Gedion Zelalem reasserted himself as the key player establishing Rangers Controlled Zone Entries. He led the team with 16 CZEs & that led to Rangers getting two shots, two corners, a throw-in & a free kick.
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