Player Ratings & other stats from Rangers embarrassing loss in Luxembourg

written by – Rangers Report    photo courtesy of – Graeme Young (Daily Record)

Competitive club football in July is so stupid.

Progres Niederkorn 2   Rangers 0

Expected Goals:  Rangers 2.0  Progres Niederkorn 1.4*

Rangers xG Ratio:  66%

Rangers Total Shots Ratio:  60%

Scoring Chance Ratio:  71%

*This is based on the Niederkorn player getting a toe on the last goal, which I’m pretty sure he did.

OSCR Player Ratings

This stat functions like a Game Score for hockey or basketball & is an attempt to create a single number to indicate to what extent a player contributed offensively to his team’s chances of winning the match.  It was first introduced in this post.

  • There should be a giant asterisk next to Niko Kranjcar’s output in this  game.  He had six key passes for 0.70 Expected Assists BUT all six of those key passes came directly from corner kicks.  (Glass half full):  Rangers look way more dangerous on corners so far this year.  (Glass half empty) – Kranjcar created almost nothing in open play.  Kranjcar did have a secondary shot assist which eventually led to his missed header from inside the six yard box & also had two other shots….but when you’re the team expected to win playing a bunch of part timers – you’re not supposed to be the ones relying on set pieces to create all of your offense.
  • Again, it was Kenny Miller who was among those contributing the most to Rangers chances of victory & he had a chance to change the storyline early on with a shot saved from within the six yard box.  It was also his build-up play that helped set up Kranjcar’s two scoring chances.
  • Ryan Jack & James Tavernier didn’t have great games but they were contributing, to an extent.  Jack was on the end of two of Kranjar’s corners, while Tavernier was the only player consistently getting the ball into the final third.  He accounted for 25% of Rangers’ entries into the attacking third (expect another post on that soon).
  • Lee Wallace has been getting a lot of criticism & he does look to be isolated out on the left without Barrie McKay there but he did have 0.47 Expected Assists on the two scoring chances he created.   Maybe not enough, but other players provided much less then Wallace did on Tuesday (cough…cough Daniel Candeias…cough…cough)
  • New signings Candeias & Alfredo Morelos provided next to nothing offensively for Rangers.  For Morelos, he never saw much of the ball & may have been hobbled by an early tackle.  Candeias’ performance, on the other hand, deserves some more critical analysis.  Even though he was on the pitch for an hour, there is little statistical proof that he ever made the trip to Luxembourg.  He wasn’t involved in the build-up play at all & only accounted for 4% of the team’s entries into the final third (less then subs Dalcio & Windass).  It’s only one match (in friggin’ July) but Candeias needs to be better.
Niko Kranjcar, courtesy of Graeme Young (Daily Record)

  • Again, this is skewed by Kranjcar’s six key passes from corners & after you strip that away..nobody was really taking over this match during the run of play.
  • Football can be cruel.  Rangers had three shots hit the crossbar.  A couple of inches here & there & the headlines would have been very different & nobody would be calling for the manager’s job (in July!)

  • Rangers two starting strikers from the two legs, first Martyn Waghorn & then Alfredo Morelos, combined for 0.0 Expected Goals over the two legs.   I’ll just leave that here for you to process.
  • Rangers only had four shots that did not originate from a set piece & they averaged 0.20 xG on those shots.  The other eight shots averaged 0.15 xG (but if you strip away Miller’s big chance early on, the other seven shot only averaged 0.11 xG.  For the most part, Rangers were twice as likely to score from shots that came from the run of play….unfortunately no one was able to dictate play in the final third which led to a stale build-up play.

xG Chain was introduced & defined  by Ted Knutson & Thom Lawrence in this post.  My version is modified to only include the three passes leading up to a shot (key pass, secondary shot assist & establishing pass).  Welcome to DIY stats!

  • In the first match, ten different players were part of the xG Chain (recording a Key Pass, Secondary Shot Assist, or Establishing Pass)…this time only six players.
  • Daniel Candeias, Ryan Jack, & Jordan Rossiter are the most notable absences from this list.  Both Rossiter & Jack played significant roles in getting the ball into the final third, but that impact stopped once Rangers established possession in the attacking zone. *This is where it would be nice to have access to passing data in the final third…where did it all fall apart?

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